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Why is inflation rate different across States?

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Why is inflation rate different across States?

  • India’s economy grew at a slower-than-expected 13.5% in the first quarter of the year.
  • Private consumption picked up, but inflation has been a dampener.

Inflation no.s

  • Retail inflation shot up to an eight-year high of 7.79% in April, but cooled slightly to 6.7% by July.
  • In several States and UTs, including Assam, Andhra Pradesh, Gujarat, Haryana and Telangana, consumers continued to face over 7% inflation in July
  • 11 States, including West Bengal, Uttar Pradesh and Bihar, saw accelerated price rise in the month.

States inflation

  • 14 States as well as 3 UTs, including Jammu and Kashmir, have faced higher than the national inflation (averaging over 7%).
  • Consumers in Telangana (8.32%), West Bengal (8.06%) and Sikkim are worst-hit with 8%-plus inflation.
  • A dozen States have recorded retail price rise of less than 6% through 2022,
  • Kerala (4.8%), Tamil Nadu (5.01%), Punjab (5.35%), Delhi (5.56%) and Karnataka (5.84%).
  • Manipur, Goa and Meghalaya averaged inflation below 4%, at 1.07%, 3.66% and 3.84%, respectively.

Reasons for variations in price rise

  • Food price inflation
  • Dropped to a 5-month low of 6.8% in July
  • A key differentiating factor for States’ inflation experience.
  • States that are not major crop producers have higher food inflation as transport costs are added on
  • States with predominant rural areas
  • States having rural areas also clock more inflation
    • Reason: CPI for rural areas assigns a higher weightage to food,.
  • Consumption patterns and divergences
  • Influence variations among States.

Way Forward

  • Identifying factors of higher inflation (or lower) in some States vis-à-vis others
  • Could help policy makers address those pressure points more specifically to provide lasting relief to consumers.
  • Centre and States can coordinate to pinpoint and address the price triggers that may not be driven by global headwinds but local factors.

Prelims Takeaway

  • Inflation - Types and trends

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