Why is inflation rate different across States?
- India’s economy grew at a slower-than-expected 13.5% in the first quarter of the year.
- Private consumption picked up, but inflation has been a dampener.
Inflation no.s
- Retail inflation shot up to an eight-year high of 7.79% in April, but cooled slightly to 6.7% by July.
- In several States and UTs, including Assam, Andhra Pradesh, Gujarat, Haryana and Telangana, consumers continued to face over 7% inflation in July
- 11 States, including West Bengal, Uttar Pradesh and Bihar, saw accelerated price rise in the month.
States inflation
- 14 States as well as 3 UTs, including Jammu and Kashmir, have faced higher than the national inflation (averaging over 7%).
- Consumers in Telangana (8.32%), West Bengal (8.06%) and Sikkim are worst-hit with 8%-plus inflation.
- A dozen States have recorded retail price rise of less than 6% through 2022,
- Kerala (4.8%), Tamil Nadu (5.01%), Punjab (5.35%), Delhi (5.56%) and Karnataka (5.84%).
- Manipur, Goa and Meghalaya averaged inflation below 4%, at 1.07%, 3.66% and 3.84%, respectively.
Reasons for variations in price rise
- Food price inflation
- Dropped to a 5-month low of 6.8% in July
- A key differentiating factor for States’ inflation experience.
- States that are not major crop producers have higher food inflation as transport costs are added on
- States with predominant rural areas
- States having rural areas also clock more inflation
- Reason: CPI for rural areas assigns a higher weightage to food,.
- Consumption patterns and divergences
- Influence variations among States.
Way Forward
- Identifying factors of higher inflation (or lower) in some States vis-à-vis others
- Could help policy makers address those pressure points more specifically to provide lasting relief to consumers.
- Centre and States can coordinate to pinpoint and address the price triggers that may not be driven by global headwinds but local factors.
Prelims Takeaway
- Inflation - Types and trends