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Gresham’s law: what happens when governments fix currency exchange rates

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Gresham’s law: what happens when governments fix currency exchange rates

  • Gresham’s law refers to the dictum that “bad money drives out good.”
  • It is named after English financier Thomas Gresham who advised the English monarchy on financial matters.
  • It comes into play when the exchange rate between two currencies is fixed by the government at a certain ratio different from the market exchange rate.
  • Such price fixing causes the undervalued currency to go out of circulation.
  • The overvalued currency, on the other hand, remains in circulation but it does not find enough buyers.

Market Exchange Rate

  • It is an equilibrium price at which the supply of a currency is equal to the demand for the currency.
  • The supply of a currency in the market rises as its price rises and falls as its price falls.
  • However, the demand for a currency falls as its price rises and rises as its price falls.
  • So, when the price of a currency is fixed by the government at a level below the market exchange rate, the currency’s supply drops while demand for the currency rises.
  • Thus a price cap can lead to a currency shortage with demand for the currency outpacing supply.

Application of Gresham’s law

  • It applies to paper currencies along with commodity currencies and other goods.
  • Whenever the price of any commodity is fixed such that it becomes undervalued, it causes the commodity to disappear from the formal market.
  • The only way to get hold of an undervalued commodity in such cases would be through the black market.
  • Sometimes, countries can even witness the outflow of certain goods through their borders when they are forcibly undervalued by governments.

Commodity Money and Market Price

  • Gresham’s law can be seen at play whenever a government fixes the exchange rate or price of a commodity money far below than the market price of the commodity backing them.
  • In such cases, people who hold commodity money would stop offering the money at the price fixed by the government.
  • They may even melt such commodity money to derive pure gold and silver.
  • They would then sell it at the market price, as it is higher than the rate fixed by the government.

Driving out the dollar in Sri Lanka

  • The law came into play most recently during the economic crisis in Sri Lanka last year.
  • The Sri Lankan central bank fixed the exchange rate between the Sri Lankan rupee and the U.S. dollar.

Significance of the Law

  • The law holds true only when the exchange rate between currencies is fixed by the government and it is implemented effectively by authorities.
  • In the absence of any government decree fixing the exchange rate between currencies, it is good money that eventually drives bad money out of the market.
  • This phenomenon wherein “good money drives out bad” is called Thiers’ law and it is seen as a complement to Gresham’s law.
  • The recent rise of private cryptocurrencies is cited as an example of good money issued by private money producers driving out bad money issued by governments.

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