Gresham’s law: what happens when governments fix currency exchange rates
- Gresham’s law refers to the dictum that “bad money drives out good.”
- It is named after English financier Thomas Gresham who advised the English monarchy on financial matters.
- It comes into play when the exchange rate between two currencies is fixed by the government at a certain ratio different from the market exchange rate.
- Such price fixing causes the undervalued currency to go out of circulation.
- The overvalued currency, on the other hand, remains in circulation but it does not find enough buyers.
Market Exchange Rate
- It is an equilibrium price at which the supply of a currency is equal to the demand for the currency.
- The supply of a currency in the market rises as its price rises and falls as its price falls.
- However, the demand for a currency falls as its price rises and rises as its price falls.
- So, when the price of a currency is fixed by the government at a level below the market exchange rate, the currency’s supply drops while demand for the currency rises.
- Thus a price cap can lead to a currency shortage with demand for the currency outpacing supply.
Application of Gresham’s law
- It applies to paper currencies along with commodity currencies and other goods.
- Whenever the price of any commodity is fixed such that it becomes undervalued, it causes the commodity to disappear from the formal market.
- The only way to get hold of an undervalued commodity in such cases would be through the black market.
- Sometimes, countries can even witness the outflow of certain goods through their borders when they are forcibly undervalued by governments.
Commodity Money and Market Price
- Gresham’s law can be seen at play whenever a government fixes the exchange rate or price of a commodity money far below than the market price of the commodity backing them.
- In such cases, people who hold commodity money would stop offering the money at the price fixed by the government.
- They may even melt such commodity money to derive pure gold and silver.
- They would then sell it at the market price, as it is higher than the rate fixed by the government.
Driving out the dollar in Sri Lanka
- The law came into play most recently during the economic crisis in Sri Lanka last year.
- The Sri Lankan central bank fixed the exchange rate between the Sri Lankan rupee and the U.S. dollar.
Significance of the Law
- The law holds true only when the exchange rate between currencies is fixed by the government and it is implemented effectively by authorities.
- In the absence of any government decree fixing the exchange rate between currencies, it is good money that eventually drives bad money out of the market.
- This phenomenon wherein “good money drives out bad” is called Thiers’ law and it is seen as a complement to Gresham’s law.
- The recent rise of private cryptocurrencies is cited as an example of good money issued by private money producers driving out bad money issued by governments.